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Summary
The2024 Oscarsare approach , and the announce SAG Awards nominations put up a best idea of which picture show will get Best Picture nomination . The race to win the big Academy Award has been mostly catch through the lens that a few unlike 2023 movies are the master contenders for the pillage . Oppenheimer , Killers of the Flower Moon , andBarbieare among the titles that have long been seen as frontrunners to be nominated and potentially gain ground . The likelihood of that happening for them , and for other movies , shifts throughout the accolade time of year thanks to the momentum and buzz that herald award can create ahead of the2024 Oscars nominating address .
TheSAG Awards are typically viewed as one of the substantial Oscars precursorsfor a identification number of categories . There is usually plenty of crossover between the behave nominee between the two awards since there is great intersection among the SAG and Oscars voters . A movie getting nominated in any of the four main acting categories is always helpful when making the case for the plastic film receiving a Best Picture nominating address too . However , there is a particular SAG Awards family that is often quite predictive , make the newly announced nominations have a significant impact on the2024 Oscars Best Picturerace .
Christopher Nolan has never won an Oscar from his 12 movies , but Oppenheimer could break his bar with wins for both Best Director and Best Picture .
The SAG Ensemble Cast Award Is Most Important For The Oscars
The SAG Awards recognise motion-picture show and TV show in a variety of class . While the awards show does not have its own designated Best Movie category , Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture is the biggest award offer . The category in effect works as a Best Ensemble Cast award and is used by the SAG Awards to recognize the movies with the effective cast . Considering player , many of whom are part of SAG ’s voting body too , make up the gravid pct of Academy Award voters , a Best Ensemble SAG nomination or winnings typically go a long way in determining the Best Picture outcome .
Since the SAG Awards implement the Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture category in 1995,the winner has also deliver the goods Best Picture just over 50 percent of the clip . Of the 27 film to succeed the SAG Best Ensemble laurels , 14 go on to also make headway Best Picture at the Oscars . The succeeder rate of SAG call the Best Picture success has been much stronger in late twelvemonth , though , as three out of the last four years have match . That could be great news for whichever 2024 SAG nominee -Oppenheimer , Killers of the Flower Moon , Barbie , American Fiction , andThe Color Purple- win .
A SAG Cast Nomination Does Not Guarantee A Best Picture Oscar Nomination
The five movie nominated for the SAG Awards ' ensemble category should all feel much better about their Best Picture chance . However , this is not a guarantee that all five movies will receive nomination from the Academy . Over the last nine geezerhood , at least one motion-picture show that was nominated for SAG ’s Best Ensemble Cast class did not obtain a Best Picture Oscars nominating speech . One reason for this is that Best Picture nominations are voted on by the intact Oscars vote dead body , so writers , directors , producers , and other penis can significantly persuade the field of 10 candidate .
This sets a precedent thatOppenheimer , Killers of the Flower Moon , Barbie , American Fiction , orThe Color Purpleare not determine in place when it comes to the Best Picture race . These titles would have to break in late diachronic style for them all to get in . 2014 was the last meter all five SAG nominees got Oscar nominating address . In fact , all five SAG Best Ensemble Cast candidate also got Best Picture nominations has only happened three timesever , in 2014 , 2010 , and 2001 . That fortify the instance that at least one flick among the 2024 SAG Awards nominees will miss out on the Oscars ' biggest category .
Which 2024 SAG Awards Nominees Will & Won’t Get Best Picture Nominations
Looking at the five movies nominate for the SAG Awards ' Best Ensemble Cast awarding , there is a fairly clear difference in the moving picture ' Best Picture chance . Oppenheimer , Killers of the Flower Moon , andBarbieare all encounter as lock to be among the 10 campaigner in 2024 . Christopher Nolan ’s flick , in particular , is viewed as the frontrunner to win the family , while the resilient - natural action Barbie moving-picture show is also gaining impulse . Martin Scorsese ’s hazard of gain ground Oscars forKillers of the Flower Moonmight be dwindle down , but the film is still for the most part expect to recreate with Oscar voter and be recognized with a Best Picture nominating speech .
That leavesAmerican FictionandThe Color Purpleas the movies on the house of cards of being part of the 2024 Oscars Best Picture race . Between the two movies , American Fictionseems to have a stronger caseto make a nomination . The movie has been praise for Jeffrey Wright and Sterling K. Brown ’s performance , as well as Cord Jefferson ’s writing and directing . The Color Purplehas also been met with favourable remark , but it currently miss the bear momentum for a Best Picture candidate , despite coming out right at the end of 2023 .
There ’s a chanceAmerican FictionandThe Color Purpleboth miss out on Best Picture nominating address at the2024 Oscars . If only one of these SAG nominees miss , it probably would beThe Color Purpleat this point . American Fictionis coming on solid , with even its SAG Awards nomination in Best Ensemble Cast coming as a morsel of a surprisal .
